Outstanding in the SMRC Survey, Opportunities for Ganjar Pranowo to Become President in 2024 Strengthen
Continuing to consistently experience increases, the electability of Ganjar Pranowo as the results of the latest survey conducted by several credible and independent institutions show that he has succeeded in winning the political contestation for the 2024 Presidential Election (Pilpres).
Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) has officially released the results of the latest survey data they conducted regarding the electability level of the Presidential Candidates (Capres) who will fight later in the democratic party and political contestation through the Presidential Election (Pilpres) in the upcoming 2024 .
The results of the latest survey conducted by the SMRC show that Ganjar Pranowo’s electoral numbers have again increased and have continued to lead in the top positions when compared to the names of other candidates.
Regarding the results of the survey, SMRC Research Director, Deni Irvani explained that in the closed choice simulation of only 3 (three) names, namely Ganjar Pranowo, Prabowo Subianto and Anies Baswedan, it turned out that the figure of the Presidential Candidate (Capres) was carried by the Indonesian Democratic Party. The struggle (PDI-P) managed to gain support from the public of up to 35.9% (percent) and outperformed all other names.
Then in second place in the latest survey, was occupied by Prabowo Subianto with an electoral figure of 33.6% (percent) and at the lowest rank was Anies Baswedan who was only able to get 20.4% (percent) support. The rest, namely the public who answered that they still did not know and made their choice, was 10.1% (percent).
Deni explained that in the last two years, from May 2021 to August 2023, support for Ganjar has increased from 25.5 percent to 35.9 percent, while Prabowo has stagnated from 34.1 percent to 33.6 percent. Furthermore, Deni said support for Ganjar had also strengthened after being declared a presidential candidate from 33.2 percent in early April 2023 to 39.2 percent in early May 2023 or an increase of 6 percent, but dropped again until the survey in mid-July 2023 to 30.8 percent. .
Of course now, namely in August 2023 through the most recent survey conducted, it turns out that the name of the leader who is identical with his white hair has again experienced an increase in electoral numbers and outperformed other candidates in the 2024 Presidential Election.
For information, the survey conducted by Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) was held from 31 July to 11 August 2023 and was held nationally. The survey population itself is targeting all citizens of the Republic of Indonesia (RI) who have the right to vote in the upcoming General Elections (Pemilu), namely those who are 17 years of age or older.
The basic sample of 3,710 respondents was selected randomly (stratified multistage random sampling) from the population with a proportional number. Oversample is carried out in small provinces so that the total sample for each province is at least 100 respondents. The final sample total is 5,000 respondents. The response rate (respondents who can be interviewed validly) is 4,260 or 85 percent. A total of 4,260 respondents were analyzed.
Meanwhile, regarding the data from the survey, the margin of error contained in it with the number of samples nationally is estimated at approximately 1.65% (percent), which means that it can also be said that the results of the latest survey from SMRC have confidence level of up to 95% (percent) assuming simple random sampling.
The respondents themselves were selected and interviewed face-to-face by interviewers who had been previously trained. Regarding how the quality control carried out on the results of the interview was also carried out randomly by 20% (percent) of the total sample by the supervisor by returning to the selected respondents or commonly known as spot checks, and it turned out that the quality control carried out did not find any errors means. So in other words, the results of the latest survey from SMRC are as accurate as what happened in the field.
On the other hand, there were also previous survey results conducted by Kompas Research and Development which stated that the electability of Ganjar Pranowo had excelled in Java. In this scheme, 3 (three) names of Presidential Candidates were tested, the results of which showed that the 54-year-old leader was leading with 39.6% (percent) of the vote. If detailed, Ganjar controls Central Java with the highest percentage, reaching 62 percent. Ganjar also excelled in East Java and DI Yogyakarta.
When referring to the results of the latest survey conducted, including data from the SMRC, for example the 2024 Presidential Election (Pilpres) is being held at this time, it is clear that Ganjar Pranowo will succeed in winning this political contestation. Moreover, it turns out that his track record shows how his electoral numbers have been able to consistently climb up.