SMRC Survey: The electability of Ganjar Pranowo has increased, Prabowo has decreased
Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) said that the electability of the presidential candidate (bacapres) Ganjar Pranowo overtook Prabowo. This can be seen from SMRC’s latest survey regarding presidential candidates for the 2024 Presidential Election.
SMRC Research Director Deni Irvani said that in the closed choice simulation of three names, Ganjar received 35.9 percent support, Prabowo 33.6 percent, and Anies Baswedan with 20. 4 percent. This was revealed by him when he released the results of a survey on SMRC TV’s YouTube channel, today.
“In the closed choice simulation of three names, Ganjar received 35.9 percent support, statistically balanced with Prabowo’s 33.6 percent (the difference in votes is less than 2x moe). Anies is in third place with 20.4 percent support. Those who don’t know are 10.1 percent,” said Deni in his statement, Wednesday (23/8/2023).
Deni explained that in the last two years, May 2021 to August 2023, support for Ganjar has increased from 25.5 percent to 35.9 percent, while Prabowo has stagnated from 34.1 percent to 33.6 percent.
“And Anies tends to fall from 23.5 percent to 20.4 percent,” he said.
Furthermore, he said support for Ganjar had also strengthened after being declared a presidential candidate from 33.2 percent in early April 2023 to 39.2 percent in early May 2023 or an increase of 6 percent, but dropped again until the survey in mid-July 2023 to 30.8 percent. .
“Then (Ganjar) returned to strength in the last survey in early August to 35.9 percent,” said Deni.
Meanwhile Prabowo strengthened from 31.5 percent in early April 2023 to 37.8 percent in mid-July 2023.
“Then (Prabowo) was slightly corrected in the survey in early August to 33.6 percent,” he concluded.
As additional information, the SMRC survey was conducted nationally from 31 July to 11 August 2023. The survey population is all Indonesian citizens who have the right to vote in general elections, namely those who are 17 years of age or older, or who have been married when the survey was conducted.