By: Rendra Fathian )*
The government continues to strengthen various anticipatory measures in response to the 2026 dry season, which is expected to be drier than normal. The challenges of climate change and the potential for an El Niño phenomenon are driving the government to prioritize the use of technology and strengthening water infrastructure as key instruments for maintaining community resilience, agricultural sustainability, and national development stability.
These government efforts demonstrate that the government is not only focused on managing the aftermath of a disaster but also places mitigation as a key component of its development strategy. A data-driven approach, technology, and cross-sectoral coordination are the foundation for ensuring communities are better prepared for the dry season.
The Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) has issued a warning regarding the potential for drier dry seasons. BMKG Head Teuku Faisal Fathani explained that Indonesia could potentially experience an El Niño phenomenon in 2026. This prediction was made in March 2026 and was later reinforced by information released by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) in early June 2026.
According to Faisal, El Niño and the dry season are two different phenomena, but both can affect rainfall conditions in various regions of Indonesia. Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) monitoring results as of late May indicate the ENSO index has reached a value indicating El Niño conditions, while parts of Indonesia have entered the dry season.
The use of technology in climate risk management is one of Indonesia’s current strengths. Supported by data from the Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG), satellite monitoring, and early warning systems, local governments and various relevant agencies can make decisions based on actual conditions on the ground. This approach is far more effective than relying on responses after the impacts of drought begin to be felt by the community.
In West Java, for example, the BMKG estimates that most regions will enter the dry season from May to June, with the peak of the dry season predicted to occur in August and some areas continuing into September. Rainfall is expected to be low to moderate, requiring special attention from all stakeholders.
Faisal also explained that the characteristics of the dry season vary from region to region. Differences in seasonal zones cause some areas to experience different conditions, even within the same province. Therefore, regional-based monitoring is crucial to ensure that implemented policies truly align with the needs of each region.
In addition to climate information technology, water infrastructure development is a key factor in the success of drought mitigation. The availability of adequate water sources will help communities cope with reduced rainfall while maintaining normal economic activity.
Awareness of the importance of water infrastructure is evident in the steps taken by various parties. Army Chief of Staff General Maruli Simanjuntak encouraged all ranks of the Indonesian Army (TNI AD) to map drought-prone areas and prepare early precautionary measures. This approach demonstrates that drought management is now being conducted more systematically and data-driven.
Maruli also emphasized the importance of having drought anticipation data so the government and all stakeholders can identify areas prone to drought and determine the most effective mitigation measures. With proper mapping, resources can be directed to areas that truly need attention.
One tangible form of support for the community is the ongoing clean water supply program through well drilling. This program provides a practical solution for areas experiencing limited water access during the dry season. The presence of clean water wells helps meet the community’s basic needs while reducing the risk of water crises.
At the regional level, the West Java Provincial Government has also demonstrated a strong commitment to addressing the challenges of drought. West Java Governor Dedi Mulyadi noted that several areas in his province routinely face clean water shortages during the dry season. Therefore, accelerating the development of clean water networks is a priority the local government continues to push.
Technological advancements are also evident in the development of increasingly modern weather early warning systems. The Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) expressed its appreciation to the West Java Provincial Government for its support in procuring a weather radar integrated with the national monitoring system. The presence of this radar enhances the government’s ability to monitor weather dynamics more accurately and in real time.
Investing in this type of technology is strategic because accurate weather information can benefit various sectors, from agriculture and water resource management to disaster management. With faster and more precise information, the risk of losses due to extreme weather conditions can be significantly reduced.
The combination of technology and water infrastructure demonstrates the government’s comprehensive approach to addressing the challenges of drought. Focusing not only on providing physical infrastructure, but also ensuring the availability of data and information to support informed decision-making.
Ultimately, the success of drought mitigation is measured not only by the ability to reduce the impact of drought, but also by the success of maintaining water availability, supporting food security, and ensuring that community activities remain productive.
With a well-planned policy direction and increasingly advanced technological support, the government demonstrates its commitment to protecting the public while maintaining the sustainability of national development amidst ever-growing climate challenges.
*) Water Resources Observer