By: Muhammad Yasin *
Although some survey institutions have placed Jokowi – Ma’ruf in a position that is superior to Prabowo – Sandi. However, the bearer of Prabowo – Sandiaga, namely the Gerindra Party, believes that the electability of the Paslon that is carried by him is superior to the Petahana Presidential Candidate.
This was stated by Deputy General Chairperson of the Gerindra Party Arief Poyuono. The superiority of Prabowo’s electability over Jokowi, according to Arief, was based on a survey institution in which Arief himself was not pleased to name the survey institution.
However, the survey results are in contrast to most surveys conducted by various Survey Institutions, certainly still a big question mark, why Andi Arief did not inform the public about the results of the survey that favored Prabowo – Password above Jokowi
Ma’ruf.
In the results of a survey conducted by Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) for example, the Jokowi Pair – Ma’ruf Amin, managed to outperform the challengers. The candidate pair number 01 succeeded in gaining 54.9% of the votes, while Prabowo – Sandiaga received 32.1% of the votes.
Denny Adin as the Perindo Party Politician said that the success of Jokowi-Ma’ruf outperformed his challengers in several survey institutions was natural. Especially ahead of the simultaneous elections in April 2019, many groups in various regions have declared support for Jokowi – Ma’ruf Amin.
“In the days that approached the voting it was natural that the results of Jokowi’s – Ma’ruf Amin’s survey were superior. Now, TKN is sure, we are still superior and there are more and more declarations of support from various groups, both academics, organizations and communities abroad, “he said.
Besides the SMRC, survey institutions such as LSI, Denny JA, Cyrus Network, PolMark Indonesia, Populi Center, Y-Publica, Alvara Research Center and Indonesian Political Indicators all placed the Jokowi pair – Ma’ruf Amin in a superior position against Prabowo – Sandiaga in terms of electability.
Cyrus Network placed the Jokowi – Ma’ruf pair with 55.2% while the challenger Prabowo – Sandi earned 36%. While the survey results from Denny JA, showed a considerable difference, namely 58.7% for Jokowi – Ma’ruf and 30.9% for Prabowo – Sandi.
The Populi Center survey shows that the Jokowi – Ma’ruf pair is still superior to candidate pair 02 Prabowo – Sandiaga. The survey showed that the electability of Petahana presidential candidate still managed to outperform the former Koppasus Danjen with 54.1% while Prabowo-Sandi achieved 31.0%. The remaining 14.9 percent did not answer / provide support.
“These results are relatively the same as the survey findings in the previous few months,” said Dimas Ramadhan as a Populi Center researcher.
In December 2018, the results of the Populi Center survey also showed that electability was not much different where Jokowi – Maufuf obtained 52% while Prabowo Password was 30.7%.
The number of support for presidential candidate number 01 Jokowi, certainly can not be separated from its performance in the first period. He said, the former Governor of DKI Jakarta completed rapid infrastructure development so that the benefits could be felt by the community.
The survey results certainly prove that the majority of people still believe in facts rather than hoaxes / slander that have been circulating so far in various media. This means that various hoaxes aimed at Jokowi do not fully affect electability and critical voter communities.
Australian survey institute Roy Morgan, also mentioned that presidential candidate number 01 Jokowi still outperformed challenger Prabowo Subianto with 58% compared to 42%.
In addition, he also said, Joko Widodo received the strongest support in urban areas outside Jakarta, including Central Java, East Java, northern Sumatra and Sulawesi. “Jokowi also received a lot of support from women with 60% of women choosing Jokowi and 39% supporting Prabowo,” he said.
The survey institute could not be a benchmark before the manual calculation on April 17, but the survey results certainly could be a benchmark for the success of the ideas and campaigns carried out by the two candidates before the April 2019 simultaneous election began.
) * The author is a sociopolitical observer
